Revenue-cycle teams in home care spend most of their week on claims that have already gone wrong: denials to appeal, write-offs to approve, authorizations that ran out while visits continued. Most of that work is avoidable, because most of the causes were visible before the claim was submitted.

Home Care 360 moves the revenue-cycle view upstream. It scores every pending claim for denial with the likely reason and the fix, projects every active authorization to the day it runs out, and checks every open home-health period against its PDGM visit threshold while there is still time to schedule the visits.

Figures come from the Home Care 360 demo build: Northwind Home Care, a fictional operator with synthetic patients, claims and authorizations, priced from published CMS rates. Twelve months to September 2026, snapshot 30 September 2026. Denial scores in the demo are transparent rules over the synthetic data, not a model trained on real remittances.

Where the money goes between gross and net

The demo agency billed $175.9M of expected revenue in twelve months. $9.9M was written off, leaving $166.0M of net revenue. Denials are the main path from one to the other: 5,552 denials worth $13.8M, a denial rate of 9.3% and an average of 28 days to pay. Some denied dollars are recovered on appeal; the rest become write-offs.

Gross to net, last twelve months
$9.9M written off; $11.0M still open in A/R
Gross (expected) revenue
$175.9M
Write-offs
−$9.9M
Net revenue
$166.0M

Net revenue = expected (allowed) revenue of episodes starting in the period minus denial write-offs — one definition used on every page.

Most denials are preventable — if you look first

Each denial reason has a typical fix and a typical share that a front-end check would have prevented. The shares are the demo's stated assumptions, set per reason; in a pilot they come from your own remittance and appeal history. Applied to the year's denials, they say $8.4M of the $13.8M was preventable.

Denial reasonDeniedPreventableFix before submission
Eligibility / coverage terminated$3.7M55%Re-verify eligibility at each period start
Diagnosis coding error$3.2M65%Run a PDGM coding scrubber on the primary diagnosis
Medical necessity not supported$3.1M40%Strengthen notes for skilled need and homebound status
Face-to-face / certification missing$1.1M75%Hold the start-of-care claim until the encounter note is attached
EVV visit verification mismatch$1.1M80%Reconcile EVV exceptions before the claim drops
Missing or exceeded authorization$1.1M85%Check units remaining; request renewal 14 days ahead
Hospice notice of election late$478K90%File the NOE within 5 days of election
Timely filing exceeded$28K95%Work the unbilled queue weekly
Denial patterns by payer and reason: Medicare FFS coding errors and eligibility, state Medicaid and Medicaid plan EVV mismatches, Medicare Advantage missing authorizations, with denials, denied amount, preventable share, preventable amount and the fix
Denial patterns by payer and reason. The same reasons split by payer, so the fix lands with the team that owns it: coding and eligibility for Medicare, EVV for Medicaid, authorizations for Medicare Advantage. Payer names are generic.

Scoring the claim before it drops

Every pending and unbilled claim — 9,154 on the snapshot date — is scored for the probability of denial, with the most likely reason, the drivers and the fix. The drivers are concrete: completed visits not covered by an authorization, the share of EVV-required visits still unverified, a missing face-to-face note, a payer with a history of eligibility denials.

494claims at high denial risk, $1.16M expected
$503Kexpected denied among them
2,230medium-risk claims, $4.2M
6,430low-risk claims, $18.6M
Claims by denial risk: claim, episode, expected amount, score, band, likely reason such as missing authorization or EVV mismatch, the fix and the top drivers
Denial prevention. The highest-risk claims first: a private-duty claim with four completed visits outside any authorization; claims with 12–29% of EVV-required visits still unverified. Synthetic data.

Authorizations: the burn-down nobody watches

Medicaid plans, Medicare Advantage, commercial payers and the VA authorize care in units — visits for home health, 15-minute units for personal care and private-duty nursing, service days for some hospice benefit periods. Medicare fee-for-service does not use prior authorization for home health or hospice; in the Review Choice Demonstration states, home-health agencies submit pre-claim review instead1, and the Payer 360 shows those branches explicitly.

For each of the 2,850 active authorizations the app computes units used, units remaining, the burn rate and the projected exhaust date, then sorts them into four states:

Active authorizations by state
1,462 need action; $3.2M of care at risk
On track
1,388
Expiring within 14 days · $1.06M
543
Under-used · $0.79M
496
Over-used · $1.30M
423

Revenue at risk: care delivered or scheduled beyond the authorization (expiring, over-used), or authorized care not being delivered (under-used).

Each state has a different owner. An expiring authorization is an intake task: request the renewal now. An over-used one is a scheduling task: the patient is getting more visits than authorized, which will be denied. An under-used one is a staffing or patient-availability gap — often in private-duty nursing, where an authorization of thousands of 15-minute units is running at 10–25% of plan because shifts are not being filled.

Authorizations page: summary chart of over-utilized, expiring, under-utilized and on-track authorizations, and a watch list with end date, days to expiry, units authorized, used and remaining, utilization, projected exhaust date, status and revenue at risk
Authorizations. The watch list, largest revenue at risk first, with the projected exhaust date for each authorization. Synthetic data.

LUPA under PDGM: count the visits before the period ends

Under the Patient-Driven Groupings Model, Medicare pays home health in 30-day periods. If a period has fewer visits than the threshold for its case-mix group, it becomes a low-utilization payment adjustment (LUPA) and is paid per visit instead of the full period payment. The demo agency's LUPA rate is 9.2% of home-health periods.

Some LUPAs are clinically right. Many are scheduling accidents: a visit missed, a patient discharged early, a therapy evaluation not booked. For each of the 1,704 open home-health periods, the app compares visits completed plus visits on the two-week schedule with the period's threshold, and estimates the probability of ending below it.

Worked example, as the app wrote it
“Schedule 5 more visits before Oct 14 to protect $2,481”
0 + 1Visits done + scheduledA neuro-rehabilitation period that started 29 September; about 1 visit projected.
5LUPA thresholdFor this period's PDGM grouping. Projected below it: LUPA risk 99%.
$2,481At stakeFull period payment $2,637 vs a per-visit LUPA payment of $156. Expected loss $2,465 (99% × $2,481).

Synthetic episode at a home-health branch in Pinellas County, Florida. Period payments are priced from the CY2026 national rate, wage- and case-mix-adjusted; LUPA per-visit amounts in the demo are approximations.

Across the agency, 176 open periods are at high LUPA risk with $141K at stake, 239 at medium risk ($60K). The amounts are small next to denials, but the fix is the cheapest in the revenue cycle: book the visits that the plan of care already calls for.

The revenue-cycle morning

The revenue-cycle brief
“Denials 9.3%, $11.0M open A/R, 543 authorizations expiring in 14 days”
1ClaimsDenial rate 9.3%, 28 days to pay; 494 pending or unbilled claims at high risk ($1.2M).
2Authorizations543 expire within 14 days ($1.1M at risk); 423 over-used.
3ActionsFront-end checks by branch and payer, claim-level fixes and appeals of recent final denials.

As written by the demo build for the revenue-cycle persona, 30 September 2026.

Home Care 360 does not submit, hold or correct claims; your billing system and clearinghouse do. It tells the team which claims to look at before they go, and why. In a pilot, the readout is the first-pass denial rate on claims scored before submission, against the prior period and a control region.

Next: hospice length of stay and live discharge. Or see the Home Care 360 product page.

Sources. 1. CMS, Review Choice Demonstration for Home Health Services (cms.gov). CMS, CY2026 Home Health Prospective Payment System final rule (CMS-1828-F), 90 FR 55342: national standardized 30-day period payment $2,038.22, used to price the demo's synthetic periods.

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Home Care 360: grow admissions, fill every visit and keep your caregivers

Where the value is, the AI layer, the CMS benchmark, the lakehouse architecture and the 90-day pilot, for CIO, COO and CFO leadership.

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